DevelopingClimate
The 2026-2027 El Niño: what we know
El Niño is still strengthening and is expected to peak towards the end of the year.
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Where things stand
- DevelopingThe 2026-2027 El Niño: what we know
El Niño is still strengthening and is expected to peak towards the end of the year.
Key facts
- The WMO said El Niño was firmly established and gave a near 100% chance that it lasts through February 2027. World Meteorological Organization, Al Jazeera
- NOAA put the chance of a very strong El Niño this autumn and winter at more than 90%. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- UNICEF says El Niño could expose more than 347 million children, in nearly 100 countries and territories, to unusually wet or dry conditions between October and December. UN News
Timeline
- UNICEF says El Niño could expose more than 347 million children, in nearly 100 countries and territories, to unusually wet or dry conditions between October and December. UN News
- NOAA put the chance of a very strong El Niño this autumn and winter at more than 90%. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The WMO said El Niño was firmly established and gave a near 100% chance that it lasts through February 2027. World Meteorological Organization, Al Jazeera
- The WMO said a strong El Niño was developing and would keep strengthening through August, September and October. World Meteorological Organization
- NOAA declared that El Niño conditions had formed in the tropical Pacific and issued an El Niño Advisory. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Met Office